energy.agwired.com

Despite the tremendous growth in ethanol and biodiesel production over the past year, consumers still lack a basic understanding of biofuels benefits and availability.

That’s the findings of a just-released consumer survey commissioned by Pavilion Technologies and conducted by Harris Interactive.

Despite a surge in production and government support, only a fraction of adult drivers in the United States (5%) currently use biofuels such as an ethanol-blend fuel or biodiesel. Education and availability prove to be stumbling blocks on the road to making ethanol a market staple.

The survey found that not only do drivers lack awareness about biofuels, many are misinformed on the subject. Forty-four percent of drivers agreed that they do not understand the difference between biofuels and conventional gasoline. One in four drivers who do not use a biofuel (25%) indicated that they do not know what it is. The overall survey results suggest that many consumers are not aware that ethanol is cheaper and better for the environment than traditional gasoline and that many cars on the road today can run on ethanol blends without modification.

Other findings of the study:

Fifty-seven percent of drivers are not sure whether biofuels are more, less, or equally as expensive as traditional gasoline or diesel fuel.

Fifty-seven percent of drivers who do not use a biofuel say it is because they do not think their car can run on it.

Nearly half (47%) of drivers who do not use biofuels say they do not know where to buy them.

Of drivers who currently do not use biofuels, the overwhelming majority (95%) indicated that they could be encouraged to make the switch.

A full copy of research findings, images, and ethanol industry resources is available on-line at the Pavilloin Technologies website. Findings will also be revealed in a webcast, available for viewing at the same location on February 1.

According to their website, Pavilion is the leading supplier of control software solutions to the U.S. ethanol industry.

America used more gasoline in 2006, but that increase was entirely offset by ethanol.

According to the American Petroleum Institute’s December 2006 statistics report, gasoline deliveries in 2006 increased a modest 0.8 percent from 2005 to 9.2 million barrels, or 386 million gallons, per day.

The year’s higher volume of gasoline deliveries was, in effect, met entirely by a substantial jump in the blending of ethanol into gasoline. Ethanol use in gasoline rose by more than 1 billion gallons, or nearly 35 percent, to an estimated 5.4 billion gallons in 2006. More than 40 percent of all gasoline consumed in the U.S. now includes ethanol.

That was good news to the Renewable Fuels Association. President Bob Dinneen commented, “The fact ethanol blends are making up for the entire growth in gasoline consumption means our nation is having to import less oil than would otherwise be needed.”

This week’s Associated Press Centerpiece report focuses on ethanol plants powered by manure and other waste material.

Ranchers have long been fond of saying cattle manure smells like money.

Now, folks in the business of making ethanol are smelling dollars too – in the methane gas emitted by manure at large cattle feedlots and dairies.

The article looks at several companies that are addressing the “criticism that making ethanol uses too much natural gas or coal to produce” by using more environmentally-friendly sources of energy.

Among those highlighted are Kansas-based E3 BioFuels, Texas-based Panda Ethanol and Bion Environmental Technologies.

Financial analysts are predicting dire times for the ethanol boom now that higher corn prices and lower gas prices are putting the squeeze on industry profits.

A Reuters UK article quotes from a Credit Suisse report that predicts a lower completion rate for planned ethanol plant projects.

“Back in July 2006, a new plant would have commanded returns in the 35-40 percent range using $2.50/bushel corn and $2.50 per gallon ethanol,” Credit Suisse said.

“More recent prices of $2 per gallon ethanol and $3.50/bushel corn generate implied returns of only 5-13 percent,” the report added.

Reuters also quotes a Goldman Sachs report, “Continued high levels of corn prices and low margins would make it more profitable for an integrated producer to actually sell the corn into the corn market rather than to turn it into ethanol at a lower profit.”

The Wall Street Journal reports that publicly-traded ethanol companies will be among those most impacted by lower oil prices.

As oil’s price falls, alternative-energy sources become less attractive because they usually are more expensive to produce than traditional sources. Ethanol producers could be hurt as rising corn prices send their cost of production higher, and as crude and gasoline prices fall.

Ethanol prices have been dropping sharply in the past few weeks. Dow Jones reports that national rack ethanol prices as of Monday averaged around $2.179, according to ethanolmarkets.com, compared to an average price of $2.4366 as of Jan. 10.

Shares of some ethanol producers such as Vera Sun, Aventine and Archer Daniels Midland fell earlier this month but, “the stock prices have rebounded in hopes for positive comments about renewable fuels in President Bush’s State of the Union address Tuesday.”

The Dow Jones article adds that even with the tighter margins ethanol producers can hold out for now.

Dan Basse, president of AgResource, said in a research note that “most ethanol plants contract their product sales for two to four months at a time, so corn prices will have to reach levels that produce at least a 10% margin loss“ before curtailing production.

Another analyst says “the ethanol plants least likely to have problems with the corn price hike and energy price dip are the farmer-owned co-operatives.”